Tom Wilson Is (Not) a Must Start in Week 17?

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WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

If you are in a league that allows for substitutions during the week Tom Wilson is a good value the rest of the week. He has a market rank of #27 while his projection rank (rest of week 16) is #6. When compared to other right wings in week 17 instead of Wilson consider these better options at lower start percentages: Brandon Pirri (6.7 FP) and Reilly Smith (4.8 FP). Elias Lindholm (3.5 FP), Patrick Kane (3.7 FP), Mikael Granlund (4.4 FP), Josh Bailey (2.4 FP), and Mark Stone (3.5 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Wilson but are starting in more leagues. Starting in 71% of leagues he is expected to produce 3.1 fantasy points (WK 17). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #21 right wing of week 17. He is projected to be better than that (the #6 right wing).

Lower Start%T. Wilson WK 17Higher Start%
B. Pirri (7 FP)5 FPE. Lindholm (4 FP)
R. Smith (5 FP)#21 Right WingP. Kane (4 FP)
 
 
M. Granlund (4 FP)
 
 
J. Bailey (2.4 FP)
 
 
M. Stone (4 FP)

He is projected for 4.6 fantasy points in week 17 (#6 RW) in 2 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
4.6 (#6) 
Points 
 
0.69 (#24)
Goals 
 
0.35 (#19)
Assists 
 
0.34 (#26)
SOG 
 
1.8 (#48)
PIM1.8 (#1) 
 
Blocks 
0.92 (#5) 
+/- 
 
-0.21 (#83)

  • Jan 22Jan 23
    2.6 FP vs SJ2 FP @TOR

    Tom Wilson last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    1/15 @NSH2 FP, 5 FD, 2 DK16 TOI, 2 SOG, 0 PTS, 0 G, 0 A, -2 PIM
    1/14 vs STL-2 FP, 3 FD, 1 DK20 TOI, 1 SOG, 0 PTS, 0 G, 0 A, -2 PIM
    1/12 vs CLB0 FP, 5 FD, 2 DK21 TOI, 0 SOG, 0 PTS, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PIM
    1/10 @BOS4 FP, 14 FD, 4 DK23 TOI, 2 SOG, 1 PTS, 0 G, 1 A, 2 PIM
    1/8 vs PHI4 FP, 17 FD, 4 DK19 TOI, 1 SOG, 1 PTS, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PIM

    DAILY FANTASY VALUE

    DRAFTKINGS VALUE (1/18): Projected for 3.4 DraftKings pts Wilson is the #13 ranked right wing. He is the #9 highest priced right wing ($5700). Based on 1/18 salaries and projected points per dollar, Wilson is worth $5.1K. Instead of Wilson consider these better options at lower salaries: Teuvo Teravainen (4.2 FP), Brendan Gallagher (3.5 FP), Justin Williams (3.8 FP), T.J. Oshie (3.6 FP), and Josh Anderson (3.6 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 3.8 FPs, a value reached in 14 of 27 games (52%). The combined 'cover percentage' for right wing priced at $4.0K and above is 38%.

    FANDUEL VALUE: Projected for 12.6 FanDuel pts Tom Wilson is the #23 ranked wing. He is the #33 highest priced wing ($5000). Based on the projection, Wilson is worth $5.8K. Instead of Wilson consider these better options at lower salaries: Micheal Ferland (13.5 FP) and Josh Anderson (12.9 FP). Sam Reinhart (12.1 FP), Nick Foligno (11.8 FP), Tomas Tatar (10 FP), Gustav Nyquist (11.6 FP), and Alex Galchenyuk (10.9 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Wilson but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 10.9 FPs, a value reached in 15 of 27 games (56%). The combined 'cover percentage' for wings priced at $4.0K and above is 40%.

    Wilson is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

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    Make sure to visit Sportsline to for DFS and betting advice. We have picks on every game and line.

    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    As of 1/18, Tom Wilson is the #27 ranked right wing based on ownership percentage (83%). He is projected to be the #13 right wing. Even if he is highly owned, he is still undervalued and if you act quickly there is a clear buy low opportunity. Unless someone offers an even better right wing value, we advise you to hold on to him. He is projected for more FPs than William Nylander who has virtually the same market rank (83% Owned) as Wilson. He is projected for 95 fantasy points in 35 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#16) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Tom Wilson behind Hornqvist and above Nylander but the projections rank Tom Wilson over Hornqvist.

    Lower Own%T. Wilson ROSHigher Own%
    B. Pirri (105 FP)95 FPM. Granlund (83 FP)
     
    #27 Right WingK. Palmieri (93 FP)
     
     
    V. Arvidsson (88 FP)
     
     
    J. Bailey (79 FP)
     
     
    J. Voracek (82 FP)
    Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
    Fantasy Points 
    95 (#13) 
    Points 
     
    27 (#26)
    Goals 
    14 (#17) 
    Assists 
     
    13 (#32)
    SOG 
     
    65 (#64)
    PIM69 (#1) 
     
    Blocks 
    33 (#8) 
    +/- 
    7 (#12) 

    He has a relatively high shooting percentage.