Who is the Better FD Value? Faulk at $4.5K or Dahlin at $4.8K?

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

Justin Faulk is underrated on FanDuel with a projected 12.5 FD pts (#12 among defensemen). He is the #15 highest priced defenseman ($4500). Based on the projection, Faulk is worth $5.9K. Nick Leddy is also priced at $4500, and Faulk is a better option at this price. Alexander Edler (15.9 FP) is projected for more points at a lower salary. He is projected for more points than 4 higher priced options: Oliver Ekman-Larsson (10.5 FP), Rasmus Ristolainen (11.8 FP), Jeff Petry (12.1 FP), and Rasmus Dahlin (9.1 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 9.5 FPs, a value reached in 20 of 46 games (43%). The combined 'cover percentage' for defensemen priced at $4.0K and above is 43%.

  • 1/18 VEGAS LINE EXPECTATION: CAR 3.6 (#2 Most Today) vs OTT 2.9 (#9 Most)
  • PROJECTION (POS RANK): 12.53 Fantasy Points (#12), 0.52 points (#20), 0.11 goals (#27), 0.41 assists (#16), 3.76 shots on goal (#2), 0.7 PIM (#12 most), 1.12 blocked shots (#69)
Lower SalaryJ. FaulkHigher Salary
A. Edler (16 FP)12 FPO. Ekman-Larsson (10 FP)
 
#15 DefensemanR. Ristolainen (12 FP)
 
 
J. Petry (12 FP)
 
 
R. Dahlin (9 FP)

DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Justin Faulk is underrated on DraftKings with a projected 3.6 DK pts (#12 among defensemen). At $4900 he is expected to be the #14 defenseman. At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $5.5K. He is projected for more points than 2 higher priced options: Jeff Petry (3.4 FP) and Ryan Pulock (2.8 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 3.2 FPs, a value reached in 14 of 46 games (30%). The combined 'cover percentage' for defenseman priced at $4.0K and above is 39%.

Faulk is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

If you are in a league that allows for substitutions during the week Justin Faulk is a good value the rest of the week. He has a market rank of #60 while his projection rank (rest of week 16) is #20. When compared to other defensemen in week 17 these are 5 better options at lower start percentages: Alex Goligoski (2.1 FP), Colin Miller (3.1 FP), Brad Hunt (2.7 FP), Jakob Chychrun (2 FP), and Vince Dunn (2.7 FP). Hampus Lindholm (1.3 FP), T.J. Brodie (1.7 FP), Duncan Keith (1.2 FP), Mike Green (1.4 FP), and Aaron Ekblad (1.4 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Faulk but are starting in more leagues. Starting in 39% of leagues he is expected to produce 1.4 fantasy points (WK 17). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #53 defenseman of week 17. He is projected to be better than that (the #31 defenseman).

Lower Start%J. Faulk WK 17Higher Start%
A. Goligoski (2.1 FP)2 FPH. Lindholm (1.3 FP)
C. Miller (3 FP)#53 DefensemanT. Brodie (1.7 FP)
B. Hunt (2.7 FP) 
D. Keith (1.2 FP)
J. Chychrun (2 FP) 
M. Green (1.4 FP)
V. Dunn (2.7 FP) 
A. Ekblad (1.4 FP)

He is projected for 1.95 fantasy points in week 17 (#31 D) in 2 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
1.95 (#31) 
Points 
 
0.42 (#42)
Goals 
 
0.09 (#56)
Assists 
0.33 (#39) 
SOG3.54 (#4) 
 
PIM0.7 (#17) 
 
Blocks 
 
1.19 (#105)
+/- 
 
-0.08 (#105)

  • Based on 1/18 start percentages, Justin Faulk is valued behind Keith and above Kempny but the projections rank Justin Faulk over Keith in week 17.
  • Jan 22Jan 23
    0.8 FP @CGY1.1 FP @VAN

    Justin Faulk last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    1/15 @NYR4 FP, 13 FD, 4 DK19 TOI, 3 SOG, 1 PTS, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PIM
    1/13 vs NSH1 FP, 14 FD, 4 DK21 TOI, 4 SOG, 1 PTS, 0 G, 1 A, -2 PIM
    1/11 vs BUF1 FP, 6 FD, 2 DK20 TOI, 3 SOG, 0 PTS, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PIM
    1/10 @TB0 FP, 8 FD, 2 DK20 TOI, 2 SOG, 0 PTS, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PIM
    1/8 @NYI0 FP, 3 FD, 1 DK23 TOI, 2 SOG, 0 PTS, 0 G, 0 A, -1 PIM

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    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    His latest projection based rank among defensemen is #58. Based on ownership percentage (54%), Justin Faulk has a market rank of #60 among defensemen. Our projections indicate that Justin Faulk is slightly underrated by the market. He is projected for 40 fantasy points in 35 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#63) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Justin Faulk behind Klefbom and above Lindell and the projections agree.

    Lower Own%J. Faulk ROSHigher Own%
    S. Vatanen (45 FP)40 FPC. Fowler (33 FP)
    R. Hainsey (41 FP)#60 DefensemanH. Lindholm (36 FP)
    D. Severson (48 FP) 
    D. Keith (29 FP)
    T. Myers (42 FP) 
    J. Muzzin (35 FP)
    B. Hunt (41 FP) 
    M. Dumba (5 FP)
    Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
    Fantasy Points 
    40 (#56) 
    Points 
    15 (#60) 
    Goals 
     
    3 (#66)
    Assists 
    12 (#49) 
    SOG128 (#4) 
     
    PIM28 (#24) 
     
    Blocks 
     
    45 (#145)
    +/- 
     
    -4 (#202)

    His projected shooting percentage is lower than you would like.