Williams FanDuel Projection Provides Play and Fade Advice

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

Justin Williams is underrated on FanDuel with a projected 14 FD pts (#17 among wings). He is the #29 highest priced wing ($5300). Based on the projection, Williams is worth $6.4K. Sam Reinhart (12.1 FP), Tomas Tatar (10 FP), Gustav Nyquist (11.6 FP), Alex Galchenyuk (10.9 FP), and Brendan Gallagher (12.7 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Williams but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 11.5 FPs, a value reached in 21 of 46 games (46%). The combined 'cover percentage' for wings priced at $4.0K and above is 40%.

  • 1/18 VEGAS LINE EXPECTATION: CAR 3.6 (#2 Most Today) vs OTT 2.9 (#9 Most)
  • PROJECTION (POS RANK): 14 Fantasy Points (#17), 0.8 points (#20), 0.34 goals (#29), 0.46 assists (#20), 3.47 shots on goal (#6), 0.6 PIM (#19 most), 0.3 blocked shots (#101)

Williams is in the SportsLine FanDuel optimal lineup based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He is not in the DraftKings optimal lineup but Brock Boeser is.

DRAFTKINGS VALUE: There are 3 other options at $4900 (Bobby Ryan, Bryan Rust, Andreas Athanasiou) and Williams is the best option of these 4. Sam Reinhart (3.3 FP), Gustav Nyquist (3.1 FP), Brendan Gallagher (3.5 FP), Josh Bailey (2.8 FP), and Patric Hornqvist (2.2 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Williams but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 3.3 FPs, a value reached in 23 of 46 games (50%). The combined 'cover percentage' for right wing priced at $4.0K and above is 38%.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

When compared to other right wings in week 17 these are 3 better options at lower start percentages: Brandon Pirri (6.7 FP), Reilly Smith (4.8 FP), and Conor Garland (3.3 FP). Gustav Nyquist (1.8 FP), Dustin Brown (2 FP), Brendan Gallagher (2.7 FP), Craig Smith (2.9 FP), and Josh Bailey (2.4 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Williams but are starting in more leagues. Starting in 23% of leagues he is expected to produce 1.9 fantasy points (WK 17). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #41 right wing of week 17. He is projected to be better than that (the #18 right wing). His per game projected FP average is 1.6 which is better than his actual per game average (1.4).

Lower Start%J. Williams WK 17Higher Start%
B. Pirri (7 FP)3 FPG. Nyquist (1.8 FP)
R. Smith (5 FP)#41 Right WingD. Brown (2 FP)
C. Garland (3 FP) 
B. Gallagher (2.7 FP)
 
 
C. Smith (2.9 FP)
 
 
J. Bailey (2.4 FP)

He is projected for 3.25 fantasy points in week 17 (#18 RW) in 2 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
3.25 (#18) 
Points 
 
0.66 (#27)
Goals 
 
0.28 (#32)
Assists 
0.38 (#19) 
SOG3.27 (#7) 
 
PIM 
0.6 (#11) 
Blocks 
 
0.32 (#73)
+/- 
 
-0.09 (#64)

  • Jan 22Jan 23
    1.5 FP @CGY1.8 FP @VAN

    Justin Williams last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    1/15 @NYR-1 FP, 2 FD, 0 DK15 TOI, 1 SOG, 0 PTS, 0 G, 0 A, -1 PIM
    1/13 vs NSH2 FP, 19 FD, 5 DK15 TOI, 3 SOG, 1 PTS, 1 G, 0 A, -2 PIM
    1/11 vs BUF4 FP, 15 FD, 4 DK17 TOI, 2 SOG, 1 PTS, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PIM
    1/10 @TB3 FP, 18 FD, 5 DK16 TOI, 3 SOG, 1 PTS, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PIM
    1/8 @NYI6 FP, 17 FD, 4 DK15 TOI, 3 SOG, 1 PTS, 1 G, 0 A, 2 PIM

    Stream hockey games with SlingTV

    Make sure to visit Sportsline to for DFS and betting advice. We have picks on every game and line.

    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    As of 1/18, Justin Williams is the #50 ranked right wing based on ownership percentage (31%). Our projections indicate that Justin Williams is underrated by the market. His fantasy right wing projection rank is #38. There could be an opportunity to acquire him while the market is still not as high on them as the projections are. Unless someone offers an even better right wing value, we advise you to hold on to him. He is projected for 63 fantasy points in 35 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#48) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Justin Williams behind Athanasiou and above Toffoli but the projections rank Justin Williams over Athanasiou.

    Lower Own%J. Williams ROSHigher Own%
    P. Cehlarik (77 FP)63 FPJ. Silfverberg (39 FP)
     
    #50 Right WingG. Nyquist (62 FP)
     
     
    D. Brown (62 FP)
     
     
    B. Gallagher (63 FP)
     
     
    C. Smith (58 FP)
    Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
    Fantasy Points 
    63 (#38) 
    Points 
    24 (#33) 
    Goals 
    10 (#37) 
    Assists14 (#27) 
     
    SOG118 (#8) 
     
    PIM24 (#15) 
     
    Blocks 
     
    12 (#102)
    +/- 
     
    -4 (#116)

    He does not score as many goals as you might expect given his shots on goal projection.