headshot
Matt
Nieto
College None
Team Colorado Avalanche
83LW
5'11"Height
190Weight
26Age
0Exp
Matt Nieto's Fantasy Scouting Report

SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

He was the #477 ranked fantasy skater this season and the #175 wing. His wing ranking drops to #197 when basing it on average fantasy points. He showed improvement from his start of the season to the middle of his season, but then his production dropped off. In his middle 19 games he averaged 1.1 fantasy points which was higher than his start (0.6 FP) and his ending average (1 FP). He is still relatively young, so his late season drop-off should not be an indicator of an overall downward trend heading into next season. Using standard deviation as an indicator of consistency, Nieto is relatively inconsistent capable of very high highs and equally low lows. Our projected ceiling for Nieto when he 'goes off' is 6 fantasy points (his average is 0.9FPs).

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STATISTICAL DROPOFF FROM PREVIOUS SEASON

As a young player, his dropoff in fantasy production is disappointing. His fantasy average dropped by 18 percent.

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

Out of 21 fantasy weeks, he was +20% above his weekly average of 2.4 FPs in 9 of them. He had 9 bad weeks where he was 20% below average.

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

His FanDuel average was 5.9 points and on DraftKings it was 1.6 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. He had a relatively high ceiling. On Draftkings it was 3.5 and on FanDuel it was 13.6 FPs. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

Career Stats
YEARTEAMGPGAPTS+/-PPGWGTFWFL
2018COL58418220-001097
2017COL741511260-001049
2016SJ-COL5976130-001024
2015SJ6789170-001026
2014SJ721017270-011001
2013SJ661014240-012038
Career (6 Seasons)3965475129-272702035
YEARTEAMSS%TOISHIFTSPPTOISHTOIPIMMJRMSCMNR
2018COL814.913:3911213.57158.088004
2017COL8417.914:5414956.48168.6214007
2016SJ-COL858.214:54121332:5598:248004
2015SJ908.913:0813474:4680:4210005
2014SJ1357.415:15161068:5472:2220009
2013SJ1248.114:04137755:2737:4316007
Career (6 Seasons)5999.014:218163172:05615:53760036
2018-19 Situational Stats
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Games in October12213-300101811.1170:132404002
Games in November110441000080142:392110000
Games in December14246-10100229.1196:262722001
Games in January1002240000130127:221822001
Games in February1107720000200155:592160000
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Games Won2531114120010466.5346:284846003
Games Lost33178-90100352.9446:116372001
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Home Games281101130000402.5380:185324002
Road Games30381100110417.3412:215894002
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Before All-Star Break474111510110616.6636:409058004
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Amalie Arena1000-100001013:58200000
BB&T Center11011000025015:01170000
Barclays Center1011100002015:18200000
Bell Centre1000000000011:37160000
Bell MTS Place2022200004029:45450000
Bridgestone Arena1000000004014:34210000
Canadian Tire Centre1000-100001013:44180000
Capital One Arena1000-200001014:08190000
Enterprise Center1011000000014:24210000
Gila River Arena2033100003024:58390000
KeyBank Center1000100000016:15240000
Little Caesars Arena1000000004013:55192001
Madison Square Garden1000000003015:32220000
Nationwide Arena1000-100002010:25160000
PNC Arena1000-100003017:21210000
PPG Paints Arena110110100110011:11160000
Pepsi Center281101130000402.5380:185324002
Prudential Center1000000002013:05192001
Rogers Arena1000-100000013:35210000
Rogers Place1000000000012:50200000
STAPLES Center1011000000013:41180000
Scotiabank Arena1000200000014:54210000
Scotiabank Saddledome2000-100001025:54400000
T-Mobile Arena1000000001013:44210000
TD Garden1000-100000015:01220000
United Center100000000209:37130000
Wells Fargo Center11011001025015:11200000
Xcel Energy Center1000-100002012:43200000
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
After All-Star Break1107720000200155:592160000
vs Arizona Coyotes2033100003024:58390000
vs Boston Bruins2000-100001025:24380000
vs Buffalo Sabres1000100000016:15240000
vs Carolina Hurricanes1000-100003017:21210000
vs Columbus Blue Jackets2000-100002025:35370000
vs Calgary Flames3000-300001040:21600000
vs Chicago Blackhawks3000-200003042:40550000
vs Dallas Stars2011000002026:26370000
vs Detroit Red Wings1000000004013:55192001
vs Edmonton Oilers2000000003025:48380000
vs Florida Panthers11011000025015:01170000
vs Los Angeles Kings3022200001040:42560000
vs Minnesota Wild3011000003038:50590000
vs Montreal Canadiens2000000004026:26360000
vs New Jersey Devils1000000002013:05192001
vs Nashville Predators3000000006037:07552001
vs New York Islanders2011100003028:19350000
vs New York Rangers2000-100007027:46380000
vs Ottawa Senators2101-20000333.327:20380000
vs Philadelphia Flyers210110010333.327:07372001
vs Pittsburgh Penguins21122010025023:38390000
vs San Jose Sharks1011100001013:34190000
vs St. Louis Blues3022100001042:37600000
vs Tampa Bay Lightning2000-100001028:25390000
vs Toronto Maple Leafs2000200005030:05400000
vs Vancouver Canucks2011-100001025:07390000
vs Washington Capitals1000-200001014:08190000
vs Winnipeg Jets3044400009043:50650000
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
vs Vegas Golden Knights2011100004030:49430000
vs Western Conference Tms320161640000380432:496252001
vs Own Division1708830000240231:303312001
vs Eastern Conference Tms26426-10110439.3359:504966003
Outside Own Division414101400110577561:097906003
Overall584182230110814.9792:3911218004
2018 Game Log
OCTOBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
10/04vsW4-101110010.000015:250:002:32
10/06vsW5-200000010.000211:930:002:40
10/09@L5-2000-10020.000010:420:004:20
10/11@W6-100010000.000016:250:005:57
10/13vsL3-2000-20000.000014:450:503:85
10/16@L3-200000030.000015:530:003:78
10/18@W5-300000020.000213:080:001:55
10/20@W3-1000-10030.000017:350:004:75
10/22@W4-110110020.500015:180:133:22
10/24vsL1-000000000.000014:450:572:88
10/26vsW6-3101-10020.500013:600:122:40
10/27@L3-2000-10020.000012:720:004:55
NOVEMBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
11/01@L6-5000-10000.000013:430:003:28
11/02@L7-6000-10000.000013:580:002:02
11/07vsL4-100000000.000013:850:002:65
11/11@W4-100000000.000012:830:003:43
11/14vsW6-300000010.000010:380:002:98
11/21@W7-301100000.000013:680:002:73
11/23@W5-101120010.000012:570:032:98
11/24vsW3-2000-10000.000011:100:000:88
11/27@W3-200000040.000014:570:003:42
11/28vsW6-301110010.000012:450:001:07
11/30vsL3-201110010.000014:200:003:43
DECEMBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
12/02@W2-000000040.000213:920:001:48
12/04@L6-310110111.000011:180:001:63
12/06@W5-210110020.500015:020:004:27
12/08@L7-1000-10010.000013:970:002:08
12/11vsL6-400000030.000012:970:022:33
12/14@L4-301100000.000014:400:033:42
12/15vsW6-401110020.000015:330:002:82
12/17vsL4-100000010.000013:020:002:80
12/19vsW2-100000040.000014:820:003:83
12/21vsL2-1000-10000.000015:150:003:85
12/22@L6-4022-10020.000012:400:001:78
12/27@L2-100000010.000013:730:003:42
12/29vsL3-2000-10010.000017:900:033:28
12/31vsL3-200000000.000012:630:101:85
JANUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
01/02vsL5-401110010.000013:570:002:08
01/04vsW6-1000-10040.000012:230:202:02
01/08@L7-400010030.000014:900:003:78
01/09@L5-300000010.000012:470:120:50
01/12@L3-000000000.000011:620:001:87
01/14@W6-300020000.000014:900:001:72
01/16@L5-2000-10010.000013:730:002:77
01/19vsW7-101120010.000014:380:802:67
01/21vsL4-100000020.00028:700:002:27
01/23vsL5-200000000.000010:870:003:32
FEBRUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
02/02vsL5-101100010.000011:530:001:27
02/05vsL6-300000000.000015:170:052:03
02/07@L4-3000-20010.000014:130:004:40
02/09@L4-301110020.000015:300:001:25
02/10@L2-1000-10000.000015:020:002:93
02/12vsL5-200000050.000015:180:002:95
02/14@W4-102210010.000014:850:002:25
02/16vsL3-000000000.000014:020:872:42
02/18vsW3-001110030.000017:080:003:75
02/20vsW7-102220050.000014:080:002:07
02/22@W5-300000020.00009:620:000:58