headshot
Matt
Niskanen
College None
Team Washington Capitals
2D
6'1"Height
203Weight
32Age
0Exp
Matt Niskanen's Fantasy Scouting Report

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

Niskanen is overrated on FanDuel with a projected 9.1 FD pts (#15 among defensemen). He is the #13 highest priced defenseman ($4200). At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $4.7K (expected pts per $ is calculated daily based on the average of healthy starters). Instead of Niskanen consider these better options at lower salaries: Mattias Ekholm (9.7 FP), Jaccob Slavin (9.5 FP), and Esa Lindell (9.4 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 8.1 FPs, a value reached in 31 of 84 games (37%). The combined 'cover percentage' for defensemen priced at $4.0K and above is 45%.

  • 4/20 VEGAS LINE EXPECTATION: WAS 2.9 (#2 Most Today) vs CAR 2.6 (#4 Most)
  • PROJECTION (POS RANK): 9.09 Fantasy Points (#15), 0.36 points (#18), 0.1 goals (#14), 0.25 assists (#18), 1.6 shots on goal (#18), 0.5 PIM (#16 most), 2.02 blocked shots (#6)

DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Based on a projected 2.6 DraftKings points Niskanen is fairly ranked. At $4400 he is expected to be the #15 defenseman. At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $4.2K (expected pts per $ is calculated daily based on the average of healthy starters). Mattias Ekholm (2.7 FP) is projected for more points at a lower salary. Based on salary, he is expected to have 2.8 FPs, a value reached in 30 of 84 games (36%). The combined 'cover percentage' for defenseman priced at $4.0K and above is 42%.

Niskanen is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

Matt Niskanen had an OK fantasy season if you were expecting to have him on the bench and only start in certain weeks. He is the #286 ranked fantasy skater this season and the #76 defender. His ranking drops to the #105 ranked defender when basing it on average fantasy points. He showed improvement from his start of the season to the middle of his season, but then his production dropped off. In his middle 27 games he averaged 1.5 fantasy points which was higher than his start (1.4 FP) and his ending average (0.8 FP). A late season drop-off might be expected given his age. His fantasy production is more volatile that most players based on having a relatively high standard deviation. When he is good, he is really good but when he is off, he is really off. Our projected ceiling for Niskanen when he 'goes off' is 12 fantasy points (his average is 1.3FPs).

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STATISTICAL DROPOFF FROM PREVIOUS SEASON

Getting older predictably resulted in a drop in production. His fantasy average dropped by 35 percent.

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

He has averaged 3.7 fantasy points per week and had 15 weeks where he came up short (below 80% of average) and had 10 weeks where he was +20% above average.

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

He averaged 8.4 FD points and 2.4 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. He had a relatively high ceiling. On Draftkings it was 4.5 and on FanDuel it was 16 FPs. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

Career Stats
YEARTEAMGPGAPTS+/-PPGWGTFWFL
2018WAS80817250-011000
2017WAS68722290-001000
2016WAS78534390-012000
2015WAS82527320-023000
2014WAS82427310-020000
2013PIT811036460-036000
2012PIT40410140-002000
2011PIT75417210-030000
2010DAL-PIT6319100-000000
2009DAL74312150-002000
2008DAL80629350-020000
2007DAL78719260-020000
Career (12 Seasons)88164259323971617000
YEARTEAMSS%TOISHIFTSPPTOISHTOIPIMMJRMSCMNR
2018WAS1435.621:55190946.07220.67411018
2017WAS1205.822:36169034.80184.98360018
2016WAS1543.222:102030139:55201:59320016
2015WAS1503.324:392354198:07235:18380019
2014WAS1173.422:21225487:17187:37471021
2013PIT1626.221:171932242:2657:57511023
2012PIT676.020:2191380:2545:0012006
2011PIT1183.417:561590166:1136:29471021
2010DAL-PIT771.316:311352113:3128:45502019
2009DAL1102.718:151648217:3814:0618009
2008DAL1115.419:572020204:01150:46522116
2007DAL997.120:281774181:43170:30360018
Career (12 Seasons)14284.520:49214661712:061534:0646081204
2018-19 Situational Stats
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Games in October10235-40010219.5231:382754002
Games in November15156-11000293.4339:0935510005
Games in December11224600001612.5232:462588004
Games in January12224-1100001910.5254:352768004
Games in February1412330000166.3310:493327101
Games in March1502260000340322:013494002
Games in April3011-200008063:33640000
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Games Won4751116210010677.51023:24110921108
Games Lost33369-241000763.9731:07800200010
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Home Games403811-21010754873:4092921108
Road Games405914-10000687.4880:51980200010
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Before All-Star Break4871219-101010858.21058:081164300015
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Amalie Arena2000-100005043:55472001
American Airlines Center1000-100002021:44262001
BB&T Center1011000003020:11210000
Barclays Center1000000001022:19200000
Bell Centre2022200005048:01514002
Bell MTS Place1000000000021:45230000
Bridgestone Arena1000-300003020:07220000
Canadian Tire Centre11011000025022:03230000
Capital One Arena403811-21010754873:4092921108
Enterprise Center1000-200000021:23252001
Gila River Arena111230000333.322:35252001
Honda Center1000-100000021:59252001
KeyBank Center1000-100001022:54230000
Little Caesars Arena1011100000020:00210000
Madison Square Garden2000-400002042:35420000
NYCB Live1000-100001022:41260000
Nationwide Arena2000200002042:37460000
PNC Arena2000-200002044:57532001
PPG Paints Arena2000000003044:34552001
Pepsi Center1000100003020:28270000
Prudential Center2000-300004041:04490000
Rogers Arena1000000003022:06260000
Rogers Place1000-100002024:32290000
SAP Center at San Jose1000200002023:19220000
STAPLES Center1000100002023:47240000
Scotiabank Arena210100000333.343:33500000
Scotiabank Saddledome110100000333.326:40280000
T-Mobile Arena1011200001022:47290000
TD Garden1000-100001020:09230000
United Center111200000333.320:16260000
Wells Fargo Center2011500006043:03470000
Xcel Energy Center1011000000022:47262001
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
After All-Star Break3215670000581.7696:2374511103
vs Anaheim Ducks2000-300002043:34462001
vs Arizona Coyotes211220000911.144:39484002
vs Boston Bruins3011-100004063:58770000
vs Buffalo Sabres3000-100003064:34652001
vs Carolina Hurricanes4000000003082:34962001
vs Columbus Blue Jackets410121000812.593:05930000
vs Calgary Flames21010000042545:55500000
vs Chicago Blackhawks21230000052044:03480000
vs Colorado Avalanche21122000052040:38500000
vs Dallas Stars2000-200006043:00482001
vs Detroit Red Wings3011200000063:49670000
vs Edmonton Oilers2000-100002045:42552001
vs Florida Panthers3022-100007069:43782001
vs Los Angeles Kings2011300004045:27480000
vs Minnesota Wild2011-100001043:40482001
vs Montreal Canadiens3022200006070:26764002
vs New Jersey Devils4011-300009085:23912001
vs Nashville Predators1000-300003020:07220000
vs New York Islanders4000-300006088:29850000
vs New York Rangers4101-50010616.790:24935100
vs Ottawa Senators210130000333.342:51450000
vs Philadelphia Flyers4022600008085:06920000
vs Pittsburgh Penguins4000000009084:361054002
vs San Jose Sharks2000000004045:57462001
vs St. Louis Blues2000-400002042:04454002
vs Tampa Bay Lightning30000000012067:16712001
vs Toronto Maple Leafs3101-1000042565:15750000
vs Vancouver Canucks2000000004043:49470000
vs Winnipeg Jets2000100003041:54430000
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
vs Vegas Golden Knights2022300001046:33560000
vs Western Conference Tms294812-30000557.3637:0270018009
vs Own Division28235-31010494.1609:3765513104
vs Eastern Conference Tms51491301010884.51117:29120923109
Outside Own Division526142000000946.41144:541254280014
Overall8081725-310101435.61754:311909411018
2018 Game Log
OCTOBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
10/03vsW7-001110010.000021:801:022:47
10/04@L7-6000-20000.000222:120:185:52
10/10vsW5-201110000.000023:770:383:00
10/11@L6-0000-30030.000019:770:004:00
10/13vsL4-2000-10010.000021:700:452:65
10/17vsW4-310110040.250023:230:173:35
10/19vsL6-501100040.000225:950:305:67
10/22@W5-200000030.000022:100:653:07
10/25@L4-1000-10020.000024:531:225:05
10/27@W4-310100030.333026:670:002:95
NOVEMBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
11/01@L6-402220020.000024:980:152:27
11/03vsL4-3000-10040.000021:270:002:38
11/05vsW4-200000000.000221:170:002:40
11/07vsW2-100000020.000020:721:502:38
11/09vsL2-110101040.250028:486:683:60
11/11vsL4-1000-10060.000222:070:775:27
11/13@W5-201100000.000222:780:335:92
11/14@L3-100000000.000021:750:452:35
11/16@W3-200010030.000020:470:201:25
11/19@W5-400000030.000423:031:081:73
11/21vsW4-201100020.000023:780:472:80
11/23vsW3-100010000.000022:550:903:23
11/24@W5-3000-30010.000022:030:772:13
11/26@W4-100000010.000022:320:003:27
11/30vsW6-301100010.000021:750:855:00
DECEMBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
12/02vsL6-5000-20020.000021:581:172:78
12/04@L5-301120010.000022:782:175:48
12/06@W4-211230030.333222:580:401:15
12/08@W4-000020000.000019:670:523:13
12/11vsW6-200000000.000021:270:001:23
12/14@W6-5000-10010.000224:950:604:55
12/15vsW4-3000-10020.000020:620:601:93
12/19vsL2-100000040.000219:321:022:73
12/21vsW2-100010000.000221:050:654:40
12/22@W4-010110020.500022:050:421:28
12/27vsW3-100010010.000016:900:422:47
JANUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
01/03@L5-2000-20000.000221:380:632:72
01/04@L2-1000-10020.000221:730:420:60
01/06@W3-201110000.000020:000:103:58
01/08vsW5-300000010.000021:650:524:47
01/10@W4-2000-10010.000020:151:073:65
01/12vsL2-100000020.000021:981:681:90
01/14vsL4-1000-20020.000220:680:280:97
01/15@L7-2000-30030.000020:120:002:38
01/18vsL2-000000000.000022:530:252:48
01/20@L8-511200030.333020:270:670:70
01/22vsL7-6000-20020.000222:630:203:50
01/23@L6-3101-10030.333021:450:000:00
FEBRUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
02/01vsW4-300000010.000019:251:071:05
02/03vsL1-0000-10020.000022:020:151:33
02/05vsW3-200000010.000021:720:602:90
02/07vsW4-311210020.500020:171:201:32
02/09vsL5-4000-10000.000023:580:152:95
02/11vsW6-401120020.000021:670:533:43
02/12@L3-000000020.000022:950:004:08
02/14@W5-100020020.000023:321:100:00
02/17@L5-2000-10000.000221:980:171:98
02/18@W3-200010020.000023:780:003:27
02/21@W3-200010000.000022:100:352:58
02/23@L5-2000-10010.000022:900:103:90
02/24vsW6-5000-20000.000524:580:184:28
02/26vsW7-200020010.000020:800:000:97
MARCHSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
03/01@W3-1000-10010.000022:681:222:27
03/03@W3-2000-10010.000020:550:051:78
03/06@W5-301130010.000021:020:481:30
03/08vsW3-000000040.000222:570:876:18
03/10vsW3-100010030.000020:150:506:13
03/12@L5-300020030.000022:450:003:07
03/14@W5-200020050.000022:030:254:82
03/16@L6-3000-20030.000220:780:003:02
03/19@W4-100000010.000021:300:331:83
03/20vsL5-400010070.000023:350:132:30
03/22vsL2-1000-10010.000020:880:131:08
03/24vsW3-101110010.000020:400:383:40
03/26vsW4-100010000.000020:720:480:00
03/28@W3-2000-10010.000020:000:001:52
03/30@W6-300010020.000023:130:451:97
APRILSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
04/01@L5-301100030.000020:180:002:20
04/04vsW2-100000010.000022:420:000:58
04/06vsL3-0000-20040.000020:952:901:37