headshot
Brooks
Orpik
College None
Team Washington Capitals
44D
6'3"Height
217Weight
38Age
0Exp
Brooks Orpik's Fantasy Scouting Report

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

Projected for 5.8 FanDuel pts Brooks Orpik is the #107 ranked defenseman. He is the #82 highest priced defenseman ($3500). Using the salaries and projected points for healthy players in in today's pool to calculate expected points per dollar, Orpik is worth $2.9K. Johnny Boychuk (4.6 FP), Jake Gardiner (4.7 FP), Martin Marincin (5.8 FP), Mike Reilly (3.2 FP), and Brandon Carlo (5.3 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Orpik but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 7 FPs, a value reached in 11 of 44 games (25%). The combined 'cover percentage' for defensemen priced at $4.0K and above is 42%.

  • 3/19 VEGAS LINE EXPECTATION: WAS 3.4 (#1 Most Today) @ NJ 2.6 (#18 Most)
  • PROJECTION (POS RANK): 5.8 Fantasy Points (#107), 0.18 points (#102), 0.03 goals (#111), 0.15 assists (#98), 0.71 shots on goal (#132), 0.6 PIM (#33 most), 1.91 blocked shots (#35)

DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Projected for 1.7 DraftKings pts Brooks Orpik is the #103 ranked defenseman. At $2600 he is expected to be the #108 defenseman. Using our calculation of expected points per dollar, Orpik is worth $2.7K. There are 6 other options at $2600 (Patrik Nemeth, Andrej Sekera, Erik Gudbranson, Robert Bortuzzo, Markus Nutivaara, Madison Bowey) and Orpik is ranked #4 among the 7. Instead of Orpik consider these better options at lower salaries: Adam McQuaid (1.8 FP), Trevor Daley (1.8 FP), Thomas Hickey (1.9 FP), Brian Lashoff (1.8 FP), and Steve Santini (1.7 FP). Johnny Boychuk (1.4 FP), Marc Staal (1.6 FP), Olli Maatta (1.2 FP), Jake Gardiner (1.3 FP), and Calvin de Haan (1.1 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Orpik but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 1.7 FPs, a value reached in 15 of 44 games (34%). The combined 'cover percentage' for defenseman priced at $4.0K and above is 39%.

Orpik is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

When compared to other defensemen in week 26 these are 5 better options at lower start percentages: Michael Stone (2.6 FP), Adam McQuaid (3.2 FP), Kevan Miller (2.6 FP), Zach Trotman (2.3 FP), and Trevor Daley (2 FP). He is projected for more points than 3 other defensemen starting in more leagues: Roman Polak (1 FP), Joel Edmundson (1 FP), and Travis Dermott (1.1 FP). He is starting in just 1% of leagues and with a projected defenseman rank of #179 in week 26 it makes sense that he is not starting in many leagues.

He is projected for 1.52 fantasy points in week 26 (#182 D) in 3 games.


  • Based on 3/19 start percentages, Brooks Orpik is valued behind Forbort and above Rutta but the projections rank these players in reverse order in week 26.
  • Brooks Orpik last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    Make sure to visit Sportsline for DFS and betting advice. We have picks on every game and line.

    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    Based on ownership percentage (2%), Brooks Orpik has a market rank of #160 among defensemen. Our projections indicate that Brooks Orpik is underrated by the market. His fantasy defenseman projection rank is #141. While there is value and likely a clear opportunity to acquire him via trade or waiver wire pick up it is probably not worth the roster spot at this time. He is projected for 6 fantasy points in 10 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#157) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Brooks Orpik behind Jensen and above Hjalmarsson and the projections agree.

    He has a relatively high shooting percentage.

    SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

    He was the #573 ranked fantasy skater this season and the #174 defender. His defender ranking drops to #187 when basing it on average fantasy points. His production dropped throughout the season. In his first 14 games he averaged 1 FPs and that declined to 0.7 in his final 15 games. A fast start and slow end is somewhat expected given his age. Using standard deviation as an indicator of consistency, Orpik is relatively inconsistent capable of very high highs and equally low lows. He averaged 0.8 FPs, but on any given day his projected ceiling is as high as 6 fantasy points.

    SportsLine has the best NHL picks and Daily Fantasy Lineups. In the off-season check out our coverage of all major leagues (NFL, MLB, NBA, Horses, NASCAR, and Golf).

    STATISTICAL IMPROVEMENT OVER LAST SEASON

    Getting older did not stop Orpik from increasing production. His fantasy average improved by 60%.

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    Out of 15 fantasy weeks, he was +20% above his weekly average of 2.2 FPs in 7 of them. He had 7 bad weeks where he was 20% below average.

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    He averaged 4.9 FD points and 1.4 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 2.5 and 9.6 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    Career Stats
    YEARTEAMGPGAPTS+/-PPGWGTFWFL
    2018WAS442680-000000
    2017WAS81010100-000000
    2016WAS79014140-000000
    2015WAS4137100-001000
    2014WAS78019190-000000
    2013PIT72211130-000000
    2012PIT460880-000000
    2011PIT73216180-000000
    2010PIT63112130-000010
    2009PIT73223250-000000
    2008PIT79217190-010000
    2007PIT78110110-000000
    2006PIT700660-000000
    2005PIT642790-000000
    2003PIT7919100-000000
    2002PIT60000-000000
    Career (16 Seasons)1026181751937211010
    YEARTEAMSS%TOISHIFTSPPTOISHTOIPIMMJRMSCMNR
    2018WAS336.115:358580.78129.8819106
    2017WAS540.019:2117971.85252.22682028
    2016WAS930.017:4717481:32189:25482018
    2015WAS319.719:4810451:0591:53240012
    2014WAS660.021:4621252:55217:29660033
    2013PIT504.021:1117718:20212:03460213
    2012PIT320.022:1611665:44145:58320016
    2011PIT444.522:3218264:25244:30611123
    2010PIT561.820:5215386:18235:34660127
    2009PIT613.320:0518087:09210:54640127
    2008PIT395.120:18193141:04196:03731033
    2007PIT502.016:58162143:03100:00573021
    2006PIT590.016:36155476:1819:21822226
    2005PIT326.218:49166134:51220:581242152
    2003PIT561.818:25196142:43231:221273246
    2002PIT20.018:101420:3214:102001
    Career (16 Seasons)7582.419:3024552278:372711:469591710382
    2018-19 Situational Stats
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Games in October1011220000128.3162:572112001
    Games in December1000000000017:16210000
    Games in January1111210000616.7158:192086002
    Games in February14033-4000090223:522699102
    Games in March80112000060123:301492001
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Games Won2305530000170370:4645015105
    Games Lost21213-200001612.5315:084084001
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Home Games2104450000140323:1140611103
    Road Games23224-400001910.5362:434528003
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Before All-Star Break22224300001811.1338:324408003
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Amalie Arena1000-100000011:12170000
    American Airlines Center1011100000012:15190000
    Bridgestone Arena1000000001014:59180000
    Capital One Arena2104450000140323:1140611103
    Enterprise Center1000-200001014:10174001
    Honda Center1000000000017:45190000
    KeyBank Center1000000001014:02200000
    Little Caesars Arena1000000002016:31200000
    Madison Square Garden1011200000015:20160000
    NYCB Live1000100000016:06200000
    Nationwide Arena1000-100000017:41210000
    PPG Paints Arena210100000333.331:28390000
    Prudential Center1000-100003014:05200000
    Rogers Arena1000100000015:25232001
    Rogers Place1000100001018:44220000
    SAP Center at San Jose1000000001013:36150000
    STAPLES Center1000-200002017:49190000
    Scotiabank Arena1000-200000017:00200000
    Scotiabank Saddledome1000100001018:48240000
    TD Garden1000100000018:52220000
    United Center1101-20000110014:52200000
    Wells Fargo Center2000-100002032:03412001
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    After All-Star Break22044-20000150347:2241811103
    vs Anaheim Ducks1000000000017:45190000
    vs Boston Bruins3011200000050:24620000
    vs Buffalo Sabres1000000001014:02200000
    vs Columbus Blue Jackets2000-100000032:23420000
    vs Calgary Flames2011100001034:53435100
    vs Chicago Blackhawks1101-20000110014:52200000
    vs Colorado Avalanche1000-100000013:16170000
    vs Dallas Stars1011100000012:15190000
    vs Detroit Red Wings1000000002016:31200000
    vs Edmonton Oilers1000100001018:44220000
    vs Florida Panthers2000200003033:10460000
    vs Los Angeles Kings2000-100002034:51370000
    vs New Jersey Devils2000000005032:25400000
    vs Nashville Predators2000000001032:15390000
    vs New York Islanders2000100000028:51370000
    vs New York Rangers3022300005045:30534002
    vs Ottawa Senators1011100001017:46210000
    vs Philadelphia Flyers3000-100002045:02594002
    vs Pittsburgh Penguins210100000333.331:28390000
    vs San Jose Sharks2000300001025:36340000
    vs St. Louis Blues2000-200002028:24344001
    vs Tampa Bay Lightning1000-100000011:12170000
    vs Toronto Maple Leafs2000-400001031:14370000
    vs Vancouver Canucks2000-100000032:43442001
    vs Winnipeg Jets1000100000015:02170000
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    vs Vegas Golden Knights1000-100001015:20200000
    vs Western Conference Tms19123-100001010295:5636511102
    vs Own Division1412320000156.7215:392708004
    vs Eastern Conference Tms2514520000234.3389:584938004
    Outside Own Division30145-10000185.6470:1558811102
    Overall4426810000336.1685:5485819106
    2018 Game Log
    OCTOBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    10/03vsW7-001110000.000015:970:782:17
    10/04@L7-610110011.000016:020:005:45
    10/10vsW5-2000-10010.000015:330:004:02
    10/11@L6-0000-10030.000014:080:002:77
    10/13vsL4-2000-20010.000014:230:002:85
    10/17vsW4-300000030.000017:630:003:18
    10/19vsL6-500010010.000016:730:007:48
    10/22@W5-200010000.000215:420:001:27
    10/25@L4-100010010.000018:730:004:78
    10/27@W4-300010010.000018:800:002:95
    DECEMBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    12/31vsL6-300000000.000017:270:002:10
    JANUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    01/03@L5-2000-20010.000414:170:002:23
    01/04@L2-101110000.000012:250:001:88
    01/06@W3-200000020.000016:520:003:57
    01/08vsW5-300000000.000212:980:002:53
    01/10@W4-200010000.000018:870:005:22
    01/12vsL2-100000000.000014:700:001:90
    01/14vsL4-100000010.000014:230:001:63
    01/15@L7-200000010.000014:980:005:32
    01/18vsL2-000000000.000012:750:002:48
    01/20@L8-5101-20011.000014:870:001:73
    01/22vsL7-600030000.000012:000:001:80
    FEBRUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    02/01vsW4-301100000.000516:080:002:37
    02/03vsL1-000000000.000015:570:003:45
    02/05vsW3-2000-20000.000017:300:002:27
    02/07vsW4-3000-10000.000013:270:002:45
    02/09vsL5-400010020.000016:430:004:63
    02/11vsW6-400010000.000017:030:003:52
    02/12@L3-0000-10000.000017:680:005:67
    02/14@W5-100000010.000013:600:000:00
    02/17@L5-200000000.000017:750:003:37
    02/18@W3-2000-20020.000017:820:004:12
    02/21@W3-2000-20000.000017:000:002:58
    02/23@L5-200000010.000014:030:004:15
    02/24vsW6-501110020.000412:530:002:20
    02/26vsW7-201110010.000017:770:000:97
    MARCHSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    03/01@W3-100010000.000016:100:002:02
    03/03@W3-201120000.000015:330:001:62
    03/06@W5-300000020.000016:550:000:70
    03/08vsW3-000010020.000018:330:005:08
    03/10vsW3-100010000.000015:030:003:20
    03/12@L5-3000-10020.000015:450:002:65
    03/14@W5-2000-10000.000215:500:001:27
    03/16@L6-3000-10000.000011:200:002:30