headshot
Brett
Pesce
College None
Team Carolina Hurricanes
22D
6'3"Height
206Weight
24Age
0Exp
Brett Pesce's Fantasy Scouting Report

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

Projected for 8.1 FanDuel pts Brett Pesce is the #20 ranked defenseman. At $3800 he is expected to be the #18 defenseman. At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $4.2K (expected pts per $ is calculated daily based on the average of healthy starters). There are 2 other options at $3800 (Mattias Ekholm, Tyler Myers) and Pesce is ranked #3 among the 3. Vince Dunn (8.8 FP) is projected for more points at a lower salary. Based on salary, he is expected to have 7.3 FPs, a value reached in 35 of 77 games (45%). The combined 'cover percentage' for defensemen priced at $4.0K and above is 45%.

  • 4/20 VEGAS LINE EXPECTATION: CAR 2.6 (#4 Most Today) @ WAS 2.9 (#2 Most)
  • PROJECTION (POS RANK): 8.16 Fantasy Points (#19), 0.34 points (#20), 0.08 goals (#20), 0.26 assists (#17), 1.54 shots on goal (#19), 0.4 PIM (#20 most), 1.64 blocked shots (#16)

DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Based on a projected 2.3 DraftKings points Pesce is fairly ranked. At $3600 he is expected to be the #19 defenseman. Based on 4/20 salaries and projected points per dollar, Pesce is worth $3.7K. Based on salary, he is expected to have 2.3 FPs, a value reached in 35 of 77 games (45%). The combined 'cover percentage' for defenseman priced at $4.0K and above is 42%.

Pesce is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

Brett Pesce had a decent season as a solid fantasy starter. He is the number #39 ranked defender and the #182 ranked skater overall. His ranking drops slightly if you base things on average fantasy points where he is the #48 defender. He trended up as the season went on. In his first 24 games he averaged 1.4 FPs. He improved to 1.8 in the next 24 games. In his final stretch of games he improved to 2.6 per game. He is still relatively young, so he should be able to continue showing improvement next season. His standard deviation divided by his average is 1.69 which is close to the league ratio. Our projected ceiling for Pesce when he 'goes off' is 12 fantasy points (his average is 1.9FPs).

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STATISTICAL IMPROVEMENT OVER LAST SEASON

As a young player he improved as you would like. His fantasy average improved by 111%.

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

He has averaged 5.9 fantasy points per week and had 11 weeks where he came up short (below 80% of average) and had 9 weeks where he was +20% above average.

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

He averaged 8.1 FD points and 2.3 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. He had a relatively high ceiling. On Draftkings it was 4.5 and on FanDuel it was 17.6 FPs. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

Career Stats
YEARTEAMGPGAPTS+/-PPGWGTFWFL
2018CAR73722290-002010
2017CAR65316190-001001
2016CAR82218200-000000
2015CAR69412160-011001
Career (4 Seasons)2891668844514012
YEARTEAMSS%TOISHIFTSPPTOISHTOIPIMMJRMSCMNR
2018CAR987.120:29182610.53182.30240012
2017CAR883.420:54164218.50152.9218009
2016CAR1091.821:11206250:44177:27200010
2015CAR854.718:46169566:0577:3616008
Career (4 Seasons)3804.220:227225145:51590:16780039
2018-19 Situational Stats
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Games in October12213800001910.5238:282994002
Games in November5000-300008095:211210000
Games in December1214520010147.1223:182838004
Games in January1203360000130246:212970000
Games in February13235100000229.1270:513304002
Games in March1621012100010219.5352:544148004
Games in April3011200001068:38820000
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Games Won41717245000205313.2866:35105916008
Games Lost32055-150000450629:167678004
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Home Games3531114200010585.2730:0189014007
Road Games38411151500104010765:5093610005
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Before All-Star Break413811130010545.6803:28100012006
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Amalie Arena2000000001039:04460000
American Airlines Center1000100000020:20270000
BB&T Center21122000025039:37562001
Bell Centre1022000001020:19280000
Bell MTS Place1000-100001018:24220000
Bridgestone Arena1022200001021:42200000
Canadian Tire Centre2000200001041:19510000
Capital One Arena2000-200001041:31482001
Enterprise Center1000-100000018:06230000
Gila River Arena1000100002017:55240000
Honda Center110110010333.313:19202001
KeyBank Center1000000000023:10270000
Little Caesars Arena1000100000022:56260000
Madison Square Garden2022000004040:00450000
NYCB Live1000-100000019:59250000
Nationwide Arena2000100003043:32490000
PNC Arena3531114200010585.2730:0189014007
PPG Paints Arena21012000052044:36490000
Pepsi Center1011300001024:41290000
Prudential Center2000-200003035:49432001
Rogers Arena1000-100000018:16240000
Rogers Place1011300001022:32260000
SAP Center at San Jose1000-100002015:06230000
Scotiabank Arena1000000001026:31310000
Scotiabank Saddledome1000000000019:45250000
T-Mobile Arena1000-100001017:02230000
TD Garden1011200000017:44250000
United Center1000000003021:39240000
Wells Fargo Center2000100001042:00530000
Xcel Energy Center11123000025018:56242001
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
After All-Star Break3241418220010449.1692:2382612006
vs Anaheim Ducks110110010333.313:19202001
vs Arizona Coyotes2011200002037:35502001
vs Boston Bruins3011100003058:41780000
vs Buffalo Sabres3011200004068:16790000
vs Columbus Blue Jackets3011200005065:28750000
vs Calgary Flames2000000001041:36490000
vs Chicago Blackhawks1000000003021:39240000
vs Colorado Avalanche2011300002043:12530000
vs Dallas Stars2000300001040:58542001
vs Detroit Red Wings3000-200004062:32770000
vs Edmonton Oilers2011400004043:25550000
vs Florida Panthers21122000025039:37562001
vs Los Angeles Kings1000100000024:02250000
vs Minnesota Wild22138001045039:47514002
vs Montreal Canadiens2022000003044:48540000
vs New Jersey Devils3011-100003057:28692001
vs Nashville Predators2033400002039:54440000
vs New York Islanders3000000004060:13732001
vs New York Rangers4022-1000013081:39930000
vs Ottawa Senators3000100005060:55740000
vs Philadelphia Flyers4022500004083:071000000
vs Pittsburgh Penguins410100000714.389:141022001
vs San Jose Sharks2000000003036:16500000
vs St. Louis Blues2022100000041:00532001
vs Tampa Bay Lightning3011000001061:54680000
vs Toronto Maple Leafs2000-100002045:04542001
vs Vancouver Canucks21011000025039:08520000
vs Washington Capitals4011000004082:28992001
vs Winnipeg Jets2000-400001035:59450000
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
vs Vegas Golden Knights210130000616.736:37500000
vs Western Conference Tms2759142700203414.7534:2767512006
vs Own Division2517850000402.5519:376118004
vs Eastern Conference Tms462131580000643.1961:24115112006
Outside Own Division48615213000205810.3976:14121516008
Overall7372229350020987.11495:511826240012
2018 Game Log
OCTOBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
10/04vsL2-100000030.000221:000:002:23
10/05@W3-100020000.000019:430:132:12
10/07vsW8-500000050.000019:630:704:22
10/09vsW5-310120020.500020:871:153:43
10/13@W5-411230020.500218:930:102:28
10/14@L3-1000-10010.000018:400:051:77
10/16@L4-200000010.000018:650:000:45
10/20vsL3-100000010.000018:520:124:28
10/22@W3-100010000.000022:930:004:82
10/26vsW4-300010010.000021:170:302:32
10/28vsL2-100010010.000019:230:103:20
10/30vsL3-2000-10020.000019:700:005:47
NOVEMBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
11/02@L4-300010020.000017:920:002:05
11/03@L3-0000-10010.000017:030:323:58
11/06@L4-1000-10000.000018:100:553:40
11/08@W4-300000030.000021:650:001:98
11/10vsL4-3000-20020.000020:650:051:53
DECEMBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
12/05@L5-1000-10020.000015:100:000:72
12/07@W4-110110030.333213:320:002:83
12/11vsL4-1000-10010.000218:550:003:45
12/13@L6-402200010.000020:320:174:62
12/14vsL6-500010000.000020:220:001:32
12/16vsW3-001110000.000219:671:100:73
12/20vsL4-1000-10020.000018:950:000:68
12/22vsL3-0000-10010.000020:100:101:05
12/23vsW5-300000010.000021:250:004:57
12/27@L3-100000000.000218:950:433:13
12/29@L2-000000010.000017:250:732:77
12/31vsW3-101130020.000019:630:152:17
JANUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
01/03@W5-300000010.000021:530:004:12
01/04vsW4-201110020.000021:930:001:12
01/06@W5-400020000.000021:980:003:87
01/08@W4-3000-10000.000019:980:002:83
01/10@L3-100000000.000020:420:003:78
01/11vsW4-300020020.000023:001:372:83
01/13vsW6-301120010.000018:200:603:68
01/15@L6-2000-10020.000019:150:251:13
01/18vsL4-1000-10040.000019:600:001:20
01/20@W7-401130010.000022:530:003:53
01/22@L3-200000000.000019:750:352:48
01/23@W5-2000-10000.000018:270:221:77
FEBRUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
02/01vsW5-210140050.200019:580:001:13
02/03vsL4-300000010.000021:850:004:62
02/05@W4-010120020.500020:870:001:58
02/07@W6-500000000.000023:170:002:32
02/08@W3-002210020.000020:850:002:00
02/10@L3-2000-20020.000218:570:023:77
02/12@W4-100000010.000019:330:002:05
02/15vsW3-100010030.000020:880:003:77
02/16vsW3-000020010.000220:630:001:20
02/19vsL2-1000-10040.000022:020:004:23
02/21@W4-301110010.000018:730:002:13
02/23@W3-000010000.000020:330:032:40
02/26vsW6-100010000.000024:030:731:25
MARCHSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
03/01vsW5-202220000.000222:900:081:15
03/02@W4-310110011.000220:880:000:55
03/05@L4-301120000.000017:730:180:45
03/08vsL8-1000-30000.000017:580:000:87
03/09@W5-302220010.000021:700:083:15
03/11@W3-001130010.000024:680:004:03
03/15@L3-0000-10030.000024:100:001:53
03/16vsW4-201100020.000022:100:302:23
03/19vsW3-2000-10010.000224:530:001:13
03/21vsL6-301100000.000022:830:004:27
03/23vsW5-110150020.500220:850:053:82
03/24vsW2-100000020.000024:480:021:17
03/26@L4-1000-20010.000022:570:002:00
03/28vsL3-201110030.000020:730:001:25
03/30vsW5-201110010.000021:480:002:65
03/31@L3-100000030.000023:730:001:53
APRILSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
04/02@W4-100000010.000026:520:002:90
04/04vsW3-101110000.000021:650:003:55
04/06@W4-300010000.000020:470:002:10