DAILY FANTASY VALUE

Projected for 8.1 FanDuel pts Brett Pesce is the #20 ranked defenseman. At $3800 he is expected to be the #18 defenseman. At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $4.2K (expected pts per $ is calculated daily based on the average of healthy starters). There are 2 other options at $3800 (Mattias Ekholm, Tyler Myers) and Pesce is ranked #3 among the 3. Vince Dunn (8.8 FP) is projected for more points at a lower salary. Based on salary, he is expected to have 7.3 FPs, a value reached in 35 of 77 games (45%). The combined 'cover percentage' for defensemen priced at $4.0K and above is 45%.

• 4/20 VEGAS LINE EXPECTATION: CAR 2.6 (#4 Most Today) @ WAS 2.9 (#2 Most)
• PROJECTION (POS RANK): 8.16 Fantasy Points (#19), 0.34 points (#20), 0.08 goals (#20), 0.26 assists (#17), 1.54 shots on goal (#19), 0.4 PIM (#20 most), 1.64 blocked shots (#16)

DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Based on a projected 2.3 DraftKings points Pesce is fairly ranked. At $3600 he is expected to be the #19 defenseman. Based on 4/20 salaries and projected points per dollar, Pesce is worth $3.7K. Based on salary, he is expected to have 2.3 FPs, a value reached in 35 of 77 games (45%). The combined 'cover percentage' for defenseman priced at $4.0K and above is 42%.

Pesce is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

Brett Pesce had a decent season as a solid fantasy starter. He is the number #39 ranked defender and the #182 ranked skater overall. His ranking drops slightly if you base things on average fantasy points where he is the #48 defender. He trended up as the season went on. In his first 24 games he averaged 1.4 FPs. He improved to 1.8 in the next 24 games. In his final stretch of games he improved to 2.6 per game. He is still relatively young, so he should be able to continue showing improvement next season. His standard deviation divided by his average is 1.69 which is close to the league ratio. Our projected ceiling for Pesce when he 'goes off' is 12 fantasy points (his average is 1.9FPs).

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STATISTICAL IMPROVEMENT OVER LAST SEASON

As a young player he improved as you would like. His fantasy average improved by 111%.

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

He has averaged 5.9 fantasy points per week and had 11 weeks where he came up short (below 80% of average) and had 9 weeks where he was +20% above average.

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

He averaged 8.1 FD points and 2.3 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. He had a relatively high ceiling. On Draftkings it was 4.5 and on FanDuel it was 17.6 FPs. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.