headshot
Brayden
Point
College None
Team Tampa Bay Lightning
21C
5'10"Height
166Weight
23Age
0Exp
Brayden Point's Fantasy Scouting Report

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

Projected for 14.7 FanDuel pts Brayden Point is the #4 ranked center. At $7300 he is expected to be the #6 center. At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $7.4K (expected pts per $ is calculated daily based on the average of healthy starters). Ryan O'Reilly (15.3 FP) is projected for more points at a lower salary. He is projected for more points than 3 higher priced options: Evgeni Malkin (14.5 FP), Logan Couture (14.3 FP), and Mark Scheifele (14.2 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 14.4 FPs, a value reached in 43 of 82 games (52%). The combined 'cover percentage' for centers priced at $4.0K and above is 43%.

  • 4/16 VEGAS LINE EXPECTATION: TB 3.1 (#2 Most Today) @ CLB 2.9 (#6 Most)
  • PROJECTION (POS RANK): 14.66 Fantasy Points (#4), 1 points (#3), 0.47 goals (#2), 0.53 assists (#7), 2.24 shots on goal (#11), 0.4 PIM (#13 most), 0.61 blocked shots (#15)

DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Projected for 3.9 DraftKings pts Point is the #5 ranked center. He is the #4 highest priced center ($6600). Based on the projection, Point is worth $6.3K. Logan Couture (3.9 FP) is projected for more points at a lower salary. Based on salary, he is expected to have 4.1 FPs, a value reached in 38 of 82 games (46%). The combined 'cover percentage' for center priced at $4.0K and above is 44%.

Point is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

Brayden Point is the #28 ranked fantasy skater this season and the #4 center. His value would have been even better if he played as many games as other elite centers. Based on average fantasy points he is the #3 center. He peaked early in the season. He averaged 4 FPs in his first 26 games and 3 FP in his final 27 games. He is young, so his late season drop-off should not be an indicator of an overall downward trend heading into next season. Based on a relatively low standard deviation, Point can be considered a consistent fantasy player. Our projected ceiling for Point when he 'goes off' is 15 fantasy points (his average is 3.4FPs).

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UPWARD STATISTICAL CAREER TREND

As a young player he has improved year-to-year. His average Fantasy points have increased by 112% over this time frame.

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

Out of 26 fantasy weeks, he was +20% above his weekly average of 10.7 FPs in 12 of them. He had 12 bad weeks where he was 20% below average.

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

He averaged 16.1 FD points and 4.3 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 0.5 and on FanDuel it was 1.6 fantasy points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 8 and 34.9 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

Career Stats
YEARTEAMGPGAPTS+/-PPGWGTFWFL
2018TB794151920-02070435421
2017TB823234660-05120557617
2016TB681822400-0520238294
Career (3 Seasons)22991107198493021012301332
YEARTEAMSS%TOISHIFTSPPTOISHTOIPIMMJRMSCMNR
2018TB19121.518:551675265.976.80280014
2017TB21714.719:372022188.93164.6724207
2016TB12214.817:071417171:1318:4414007
Career (3 Seasons)53017.218:385114626:07190:12662028
2018-19 Situational Stats
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Games in October117714910102528189:332308004
Games in November1511819160104425270:413296003
Games in December1451419530303713.5275:283152001
Games in January107613130102429.2196:432110000
Games in February136915350002821.4251:282708004
Games in March134610720002814.3253:122652001
Games in April31121001052057:31552001
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Games Won59364682391807013426.91103:31125218009
Games Lost205510-122000578.8391:0542310005
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Home Games412127481790209023.3778:0887216008
Road Games38202444101105010119.8716:2880312006
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Before All-Star Break50303565161306013023.1932:25108516008
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Amalie Arena412127481790209023.3778:0887216008
American Airlines Center1000000001016:02190000
BB&T Center2213-42010633.337:28422001
Barclays Center1000-200004021:55200000
Bell Centre2011000007036:31422001
Bell MTS Place1022-100002021:01260000
Bridgestone Arena1022200002020:03230000
Canadian Tire Centre222441010366.735:28420000
Capital One Arena1000000000020:14232001
Enterprise Center110100000812.522:16200000
Gila River Arena1000000001016:00170000
Honda Center11122001052022:02250000
KeyBank Center2101-2000042534:00390000
Little Caesars Arena21230000025041:48480000
Madison Square Garden1011100003019:28200000
NYCB Live1000000003019:50220000
Nationwide Arena121331000366.717:59180000
PNC Arena111221000333.319:54190000
PPG Paints Arena2303-23000742.937:47460000
Pepsi Center1000000001015:56210000
Prudential Center11232101025016:00210000
Rogers Arena1011200003021:27220000
Rogers Place1022200004018:08242001
SAP Center at San Jose1000-100003019:24230000
STAPLES Center111211000333.318:59170000
Scotiabank Arena2011000006035:07360000
Scotiabank Saddledome1011100002023:17260000
T-Mobile Arena11011000025016:51232001
TD Garden1000-200001018:14170000
United Center11230001042516:52190000
Wells Fargo Center120201000366.718:19210000
Xcel Energy Center1000100003018:08222001
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
After All-Star Break291116271170106118562:1159012006
vs Anaheim Ducks2213300101216.742:57462001
vs Arizona Coyotes2000000001035:07410000
vs Boston Bruins3101-20000714.360:10590000
vs Buffalo Sabres4112-30000812.575:46864002
vs Carolina Hurricanes332532010933.355:36602001
vs Columbus Blue Jackets363982000785.751:49642001
vs Calgary Flames21342100042539:37470000
vs Chicago Blackhawks223520020922.236:21390000
vs Colorado Avalanche2011000005034:13410000
vs Dallas Stars2022100001034:31390000
vs Detroit Red Wings42353000054076:00860000
vs Edmonton Oilers21344000052036:27464002
vs Florida Panthers4213-32010102082:03922001
vs Los Angeles Kings22130200045042:48390000
vs Minnesota Wild2000000005038:15392001
vs Montreal Canadiens40332000014077:32872001
vs New Jersey Devils3471172010666.750:57610000
vs Nashville Predators2022100003036:30502001
vs New York Islanders3000-400009056:44610000
vs New York Rangers2033100004038:21410000
vs Ottawa Senators422441010922.271:01830000
vs Philadelphia Flyers2314-1200047538:20390000
vs Pittsburgh Penguins3314-23000742.956:35720000
vs San Jose Sharks2022000005038:06450000
vs St. Louis Blues210100000101040:57422001
vs Toronto Maple Leafs4123-11000101076:27780000
vs Vancouver Canucks211220000616.737:53400000
vs Washington Capitals3011000001057:03622001
vs Winnipeg Jets2123-11000616.738:25460000
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
vs Vegas Golden Knights22021100054038:05442001
vs Western Conference Tms301321341550308116570:1264414007
vs Own Division2791221040206314.3518:595718004
vs Eastern Conference Tms49283058121504011025.5924:24103114007
Outside Own Division52323971271605012825975:371104200010
Overall79415192272007019121.51494:361675280014
2018 Game Log
OCTOBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
10/06vsW2-100000020.000024:974:282:88
10/11vsL4-110100030.333016:435:570:30
10/13vsW8-221321021.000216:023:120:00
10/16vsW4-200000030.000214:350:320:00
10/18vsW3-110110020.500016:103:830:93
10/20@L5-400010030.000218:133:400:00
10/21@W6-312300040.250016:870:600:02
10/24@W1-000000010.000015:931:830:07
10/26@W3-210110020.500216:851:070:00
10/27@L7-100000010.000016:004:080:00
10/30vsW8-314540020.500017:903:420:00
NOVEMBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
11/01vsL4-1000-10010.000216:451:320:00
11/03@W4-101110050.000016:782:880:00
11/04@W4-311211020.500016:472:970:00
11/06vsW5-211220011.000218:325:020:00
11/08vsW4-2000-20020.000014:983:330:00
11/10vsL6-4000-20040.000017:832:480:00
11/13@L2-1000-20030.000017:771:000:00
11/15@W4-3303-13040.750015:555:230:32
11/17@W6-520201030.667018:323:520:00
11/19@L3-202220020.000020:052:280:00
11/21vsW7-300010020.000019:624:520:00
11/23vsW4-211220050.200019:483:100:00
11/25vsW5-221311021.000017:054:420:00
11/27vsL3-110110070.143220:925:280:00
11/29vsW5-4011-20010.000021:103:820:00
DECEMBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
12/01@W5-4101-21040.250020:023:970:00
12/03@W5-112321020.500016:001:970:18
12/04@W6-5000-10010.000021:482:430:07
12/06vsW3-210100040.250017:052:000:00
12/08vsW7-101100040.000018:282:200:00
12/10vsW6-302200010.000018:884:730:18
12/13vsW4-100000020.000017:284:020:00
12/16@L5-4022-10020.000021:021:880:00
12/18@W5-201120030.000021:455:330:32
12/20@W5-401110020.000023:285:520:00
12/22@W6-302220040.000218:132:130:38
12/27vsW6-5112-11011.000020:024:920:03
12/29vsW6-501110020.000020:532:470:20
12/31@W2-111220050.200022:034:370:00
JANUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
01/03@W6-211211030.333018:984:180:00
01/05@L5-2000-10030.000019:403:150:00
01/08vsW4-021330021.000017:821:130:00
01/10vsW3-121311030.667021:353:870:12
01/12@W5-310100011.000016:231:400:00
01/13@L5-1000-20040.000021:925:270:00
01/15@W2-000000010.000016:032:020:00
01/17vsL4-2112-11020.500024:056:350:00
01/19vsW6-302210020.000018:703:530:00
01/30@L4-2000-10030.000022:232:130:00
FEBRUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
02/01@W1-000000030.000019:831:300:00
02/05vsL3-210101030.333021:236:950:00
02/07vsL1-000000020.000218:682:530:00
02/09vsW5-401100000.000018:800:000:00
02/10@W5-2112-21020.500217:452:280:00
02/12vsW6-312311020.500016:334:820:00
02/14vsW6-002210000.000018:484:600:00
02/16vsW3-001110050.000020:485:430:00
02/18@W5-121331030.667017:983:780:23
02/21vsW2-100010030.000420:674:430:00
02/25vsW4-3101-11011.000023:824:880:15
02/27@W4-301110030.000019:472:170:00
02/28@L4-1000-20010.000018:233:920:03
MARCHSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
03/02vsW5-100020020.000017:723:780:00
03/05vsW5-210101040.250017:403:970:97
03/07vsL3-0000-10020.000020:123:070:07
03/09vsW3-201120010.000018:103:370:00
03/11@W6-201110040.000016:331:450:00
03/14@W5-412310011.000020:322:130:13
03/16vsW6-301110000.000018:204:880:00
03/18vsW4-100000000.000019:121:470:00
03/20@W5-400000000.000220:232:850:00
03/21@W6-311221030.333019:905:950:00
03/23@L4-310100080.125022:275:200:00
03/25vsW5-400000020.000024:888:880:00
03/30vsL6-3000-10010.000018:622:880:00
APRILSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
04/01@W5-211230011.000019:003:770:00
04/02@L4-2000-10020.000219:730:000:00
04/04@W3-1000-10020.000018:781:570:00