DAILY FANTASY VALUE

Projected for 5.2 FanDuel pts Devante Smith-Pelly is the #41 ranked wing. He is the #43 highest priced wing ($3000). Using our calculation of expected points per dollar, Smith-Pelly is worth $2.7K. There are 7 other options at $3000 (Zac Rinaldo, Dmitrij Jaskin, Brian Boyle, Robby Fabbri, Tyler Pitlick, Zachary Sanford, Travis Boyd) and Smith-Pelly is ranked #3 among the 8. Micheal Ferland (4.7 FP), Valeri Nichushkin (2 FP), Chandler Stephenson (1.9 FP), Mattias Janmark (3 FP), and Justin Dowling (3.2 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Smith-Pelly but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 5.7 FPs, a value reached in 12 of 54 games (22%). The combined 'cover percentage' for wings priced at $4.0K and above is 45%.

• 4/20 VEGAS LINE EXPECTATION: WAS 2.9 (#2 Most Today) vs CAR 2.6 (#4 Most)
• PROJECTION (POS RANK): 5.17 Fantasy Points (#42), 0.2 points (#46), 0.11 goals (#40), 0.09 assists (#49), 1.1 shots on goal (#44), 0.3 PIM (#29 most), 0.85 blocked shots (#6)

DRAFTKINGS VALUE: There are 2 other options at $2500 (Travis Boyd, Jack Roslovic) and Smith-Pelly is the best option of these 3. Based on salary, he is expected to have 1.6 FPs, a value reached in 12 of 54 games (22%). The combined 'cover percentage' for right wing priced at $4.0K and above is 42%.

Smith-Pelly is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

He is the number #275 ranked wing and the #707 ranked skater overall. His wing ranking drops to #318 when basing it on average fantasy points. His production dropped throughout the season. In his first 17 games he averaged 0.5 FPs and that declined to 0 in his final 18 games. His fantasy production is more volatile that most players based on having a relatively high standard deviation. When he is good, he is really good but when he is off, he is really off. Our projected ceiling for Smith-Pelly when he 'goes off' is 6 fantasy points (his average is 0.3FPs).

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STATISTICAL DROPOFF FROM PREVIOUS SEASON

Based on his fantasy point average, he is on a downward trend. His average fantasy points decreased by 50% this season.

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

He has averaged 0.8 fantasy points per week and had 11 weeks where he came up short (below 80% of average) and had 7 weeks where he was +20% above average.

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

He averaged 4.3 FD points and 1.2 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. He had a relatively high ceiling. On Draftkings it was 2.5 and on FanDuel it was 8 FPs. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.