headshot
Nate
Thompson
College None
Team Montreal Canadiens
21C
6'1"Height
214Weight
34Age
0Exp
Nate Thompson's Fantasy Scouting Report

REST OF SEASON VALUE

His latest projection based rank among centers is #122. Based on ownership percentage (under 1%) and season fantasy rankings, Nate Thompson has a market rank of #133 among centers. With a lower market rank than projection rank, consider Nate Thompson to be undervalued. While there is value and likely a clear opportunity to acquire him via trade or waiver wire pick up it is probably not worth the roster spot at this time. He is projected for 4 fantasy points in 8 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#131) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Nate Thompson behind Acciari and above Bourque and the projections agree.

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He has a relatively high shooting percentage.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

When compared to other centers in week 26 these are 2 better options at lower start percentages: Colby Cave (2.4 FP) and Tanner Fritz (2.1 FP). He is starting in no leagues and with a projected center rank of #125 in week 26 it makes sense.

He is projected for 1.47 fantasy points in week 26 (#126 C) in 3 games.


  • Based on 3/23 start percentages, Nate Thompson is valued behind Moore and above Anderson
  • Nate Thompson last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    DAILY FANTASY VALUE

    DRAFTKINGS VALUE (3/23): Projected for 1.4 DraftKings pts Thompson is the #77 ranked center. He is the #74 highest priced center ($2500). Based on the projection, Thompson is worth $2.1K. There are many other options (15) at $2500 and Thompson is ranked #10 among the 16. Based on salary, he is expected to have 1.6 FPs, a value reached in 13 of 71 games (18%). The combined 'cover percentage' for center priced at $4.0K and above is 40%.

    FANDUEL VALUE: Based on a projected 4.8 FanDuel points, Thompson is fairly ranked. At $3100 he is expected to be the #71 center. Using the salaries and projected points for healthy players in in today's pool to calculate expected points per dollar, Thompson is worth $2.3K. There are 5 other options at $3100 (Victor Rask, Jay Beagle, Johan Larsson, Jacob De La Rose, Frederik Gauthier) and Thompson is ranked #2 among the 6. Pierre-Edouard Bellemare (5.9 FP) is projected for more points at a lower salary. Based on salary, he is expected to have 6.3 FPs, a value reached in 13 of 71 games (18%). The combined 'cover percentage' for centers priced at $4.0K and above is 41%.

    Thompson is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

    SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

    He was the number #116 ranked center and the #609 ranked skater overall. His center ranking drops to #146 when basing it on average fantasy points. He showed an upward trajectory as the season went on. He averaged 0.3 FPs in his first 23 games and 0.5 FP in his final 24 games. Using standard deviation as an indicator of consistency, Thompson is relatively inconsistent capable of very high highs and equally low lows. He averaged 0.4 FPs, but on any given day his projected ceiling is as high as 6 fantasy points.

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    STATISTICAL DROPOFF FROM PREVIOUS SEASON

    Thompson is getting older which might explain his drop-off in production. His fantasy average dropped by 43 percent.

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    He has averaged 1.2 fantasy points per week and had 13 weeks where he came up short (below 80% of average) and had 7 weeks where he was +20% above average.

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    His FanDuel average was 3.2 points and on DraftKings it was 0.9 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 2 and 6.4 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    Career Stats
    YEARTEAMGPGAPTS+/-PPGWGTFWFL
    2018MON7247110-0000373323
    2017LA69512170-0000360278
    2016ANA301120-0000130115
    2015ANA493360-0000235216
    2014ANA80513180-0030557499
    2013TB8197160-0010496478
    2012TB4578150-0000310295
    2011TB6896150-0010293299
    2010TB791015250-0020360304
    2009NYI-TB7128100-0000323272
    2008NYI432240-0000216214
    2006BOS40000-000046
    Career (12 Seasons)6915782139-5307036573299
    YEARTEAMSS%TOISHIFTSPPTOISHTOIPIMMJRMSCMNR
    2018MON626.513:04142720.63137.4017106
    2017LA539.412:4613273.13141.32200010
    2016ANA195.310:224843:4047:4214202
    2015ANA427.111:359046:3677:18471211
    2014ANA875.713:18155511:36145:06391112
    2013TB1058.612:5115483:30162:13271010
    2012TB5812.114:209494:38108:5917106
    2011TB8510.614:4813979:40183:3421108
    2010TB1238.115:05180616:42214:37291012
    2009NYI-TB922.213:2314463:16189:36566013
    2008NYI563.612:048142:51111:1749517
    2006BOS50.04:45320:000:290000
    Career (12 Seasons)7877.213:141368986:151519:3433620497
    2018-19 Situational Stats
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Games in October11000-5000090124:541872001
    Games in November1511240000911.1202:183142001
    Games in December14213200001118.2196:202849102
    Games in January100000000030120:161854002
    Games in February11101-20000128.3152:292470000
    Games in March1105520000180145:122100000
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Games Won31268110000277.4433:536422001
    Games Lost41213-100000355.7507:3678515105
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Home Games3323560000306.7433:2964712006
    Road Games39246-50000326.3508:007805100
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Before All-Star Break5032510000329.4643:4897017106
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Amalie Arena1000000000011:43210000
    American Airlines Center2000000004023:50320000
    BB&T Center1000000000012:44200000
    Bell Centre802200000170116:521670000
    Bell MTS Place1000000000010:01180000
    Bridgestone Arena210110000333.326:01450000
    Canadian Tire Centre1000-10000109:58150000
    Enterprise Center1000000001013:31230000
    Honda Center1000-100001012:28170000
    KeyBank Center1000000000012:11185100
    Little Caesars Arena2000-100002026:37420000
    Madison Square Garden1011100002012:27200000
    NYCB Live1000100001012:56170000
    Nationwide Arena1000000000014:45200000
    PPG Paints Arena1000000002015:10210000
    Pepsi Center2000-200001024:13400000
    Prudential Center2000-200001026:04440000
    Rogers Arena1000-100000017:29250000
    Rogers Place1000000000012:54190000
    SAP Center at San Jose3022-100001034:37590000
    STAPLES Center27213600001414.3345:4752012006
    Scotiabank Arena2000-100003027:16440000
    Scotiabank Saddledome1000000000012:59190000
    T-Mobile Arena2000-100001030:45430000
    TD Garden11012000025013:28210000
    United Center1000000001014:09240000
    Wells Fargo Center2011100003027:10410000
    Xcel Energy Center2000000001023:24320000
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    After All-Star Break2215600000303.3297:414570000
    vs Anaheim Ducks2000100003027:41390000
    vs Arizona Coyotes2000000001029:41402001
    vs Boston Bruins11012000025013:28210000
    vs Buffalo Sabres3011-100002037:53567101
    vs Carolina Hurricanes1000000001017:54270000
    vs Columbus Blue Jackets3000000003043:04640000
    vs Calgary Flames2000000000025:44370000
    vs Chicago Blackhawks2000000004027:19410000
    vs Colorado Avalanche3000-300003042:45710000
    vs Dallas Stars2000000004023:50320000
    vs Detroit Red Wings4000-100003050:36780000
    vs Edmonton Oilers3011300000038:46590000
    vs Florida Panthers1000000000012:44200000
    vs Los Angeles Kings1000000000014:33200000
    vs Minnesota Wild3000000001032:31480000
    vs Montreal Canadiens1000000001014:37200000
    vs New Jersey Devils3000-200002036:14640000
    vs Nashville Predators210110000333.326:01450000
    vs New York Islanders3011100003042:15600000
    vs New York Rangers2011100003018:13310000
    vs Ottawa Senators2000-100002019:52312001
    vs Philadelphia Flyers4011100006054:16770000
    vs Pittsburgh Penguins3000-100005038:22600000
    vs San Jose Sharks4022-300001047:55780000
    vs St. Louis Blues2000100001024:52400000
    vs Tampa Bay Lightning2000000000022:50392001
    vs Toronto Maple Leafs3000000003042:10662001
    vs Vancouver Canucks2000-100000029:53440000
    vs Winnipeg Jets210120000110026:52370000
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    vs Vegas Golden Knights41011000042558:38822001
    vs Western Conference Tms36336200002611.5477:017134002
    vs Own Division2313400000128.3320:224804002
    vs Eastern Conference Tms36145-10000362.8464:2871413104
    Outside Own Division4934710000506621:0794713104
    Overall72471110000626.5941:29142717106
    2018 Game Log
    OCTOBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    10/05vsL3-2000-20000.000013:300:051:98
    10/07vsW4-200000000.000010:300:122:48
    10/09@L2-100000000.000010:020:002:48
    10/11@W3-000000010.000014:620:474:45
    10/13@L5-1000-10010.00009:970:220:67
    10/15@L4-100000020.000014:020:051:22
    10/18vsL7-2000-10000.000014:620:253:17
    10/20vsL5-1000-10000.00028:820:000:68
    10/23@L4-200000030.000010:520:001:55
    10/25@L4-100000010.000012:970:234:38
    10/28vsW4-300000010.00005:770:031:30
    NOVEMBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    11/01vsL5-200000010.000010:880:000:85
    11/03vsW4-100000000.000010:970:233:68
    11/06vsW4-100020020.000015:220:003:18
    11/08vsL3-100000000.00009:120:051:58
    11/10vsL1-000000000.000012:750:100:47
    11/13vsL5-100010000.000214:900:272:75
    11/16@W2-100000010.000014:150:872:67
    11/17@L5-310110020.500013:121:901:47
    11/19@W2-000000010.000013:520:001:23
    11/21vsL7-3000-10020.000018:532:981:12
    11/24vsL4-200000000.000012:400:450:62
    11/25vsW5-201120000.000013:381:071:88
    11/27@W2-1000-10000.000017:482:002:62
    11/29@L3-200000000.000012:901:171:65
    11/30@L4-100000000.000012:980:570:67
    DECEMBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    12/02vsW2-000000010.000017:902:550:93
    12/04vsL2-1000-10010.000213:381:552:60
    12/06vsL6-300000010.000010:170:000:82
    12/08vsW5-110130011.000212:430:001:30
    12/10@L3-100000010.000010:620:031:03
    12/11@L4-300000000.000512:180:003:53
    12/13@L4-100000000.000014:750:072:12
    12/15@L4-300000020.000015:170:000:93
    12/18vsW4-110120011.000016:850:221:23
    12/22@W3-201100000.000014:470:000:50
    12/23@W4-3000-10010.000014:980:000:42
    12/27vsW2-100010000.000016:300:022:17
    12/29vsL4-1000-10020.000015:450:020:87
    12/31@W3-2000-10000.000011:680:003:02
    JANUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    01/01@L2-000000000.000015:770:001:87
    01/03vsL6-200000000.000211:120:581:02
    01/05vsW4-000010000.000012:481:082:03
    01/07@L3-1000-10000.000010:420:001:32
    01/10vsL4-100000010.00029:900:000:58
    01/12vsW5-200000000.000012:950:382:27
    01/15@L3-200000000.000010:430:000:72
    01/17@W2-100000010.000013:320:001:87
    01/19@L7-1000-10010.000012:530:002:15
    01/21vsW4-300010000.000011:350:001:50
    FEBRUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    02/05@W5-100000000.000014:770:752:98
    02/07@W3-200000010.000012:780:001:13
    02/09@L5-410120020.500013:470:032:12
    02/14@L3-100000010.000012:900:003:12
    02/16@L3-000000000.000011:720:053:20
    02/17@L6-300000000.000012:730:002:03
    02/19vsW3-200000030.000017:350:002:57
    02/21vsW5-100000020.000016:220:003:17
    02/23@L6-3000-10010.000013:250:001:53
    02/25@L2-1000-20010.000011:300:004:10
    02/26@W8-1000-10010.000016:000:004:95
    MARCHSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    03/01@W4-201110020.000012:450:000:93
    03/02vsL5-1000-10030.000010:250:002:60
    03/05@W3-100000000.000014:550:001:55
    03/07@L5-201100010.00009:730:000:00
    03/08@L8-2000-10010.000012:470:232:27
    03/12vsW3-100000010.000013:680:001:90
    03/14@L2-100010010.000012:930:001:97
    03/16vsL2-000000030.000013:170:002:03
    03/19@W3-101110020.000014:380:000:12
    03/21vsW4-001110020.000014:700:002:25
    03/23vsW7-401100020.000016:880:003:30