headshot
Andrei
Vasilevskiy
College None
Team Tampa Bay Lightning
88G
6'3"Height
207Weight
24Age
0Exp
Andrei Vasilevskiy's Fantasy Scouting Report

REST OF SEASON VALUE

Ranking by ownership percentage (88%), Andrei Vasilevskiy is expected to be the #1 goalie for the rest of the season. The projections indicate that he is likely to fall short of high market expectations. He is only projected to be the #9 goalie. He is projected for more FPs than Marc-Andre Fleury who has virtually the same market rank (88% Owned) as Vasilevskiy. He is projected for 41 fantasy points in 7 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#14) based on projected fantasy average. The market values Andrei Vasilevskiy over Fleury and the projections agree.

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His overall ranking is boosted by getting a lot of wins playing on a good team. His save percentage rank is not as high as his overall.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

His market rank based on start percentage among goalies for week 25 is #4, which is less than his market rank of #1. When compared to other goalies in week 25 these are 3 better options at lower start percentages: Braden Holtby (19 FP), Connor Hellebuyck (19 FP), and Matt Murray (19 FP). Starting in 83% of leagues he is expected to produce 19.2 fantasy points (WK 25). Owners expect him to be the most productive goalie of the week, but he is projected to be the #4 goalie.

He is projected for 17.73 fantasy points in week 25 (#4 G) in 3 games.


  • Based on 3/18 start %s the market values Andrei Vasilevskiy over Fleury and the projections agree.
  • Andrei Vasilevskiy last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    DAILY FANTASY VALUE

    FANDUEL VALUE (3/18): Based on a projected 21.3 FanDuel points, Vasilevskiy is fairly ranked. At $9600 he is expected to be the #1 goalie. Using our calculation of expected points per dollar, Vasilevskiy is worth $10.2K. Based on salary, he is expected to have 20.1 FPs, a value reached in 29 of 58 games (50%). The combined 'cover percentage' for goalies priced at $4.0K and above is 33%.

    DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Based on a projected 5.3 DraftKings points Vasilevskiy is fairly ranked. He is the #1 highest priced goalie ($8200). Using the salaries and projected points for healthy players in in today's pool to calculate expected points per dollar, Vasilevskiy is worth $9.4K. Based on salary, he is expected to have 4.7 FPs, a value reached in 31 of 58 games (53%). The combined 'cover percentage' for goalie priced at $4.0K and above is 34%.

    Vasilevskiy is in the SportsLine Projection model FanDuel optimal lineup and DraftKings optimal lineup. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has used his own proprietary model to successfully win over $1 Million in Daily Fantasy. His lineups often differ significantly from the SportsLine Projection model.

    SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

    Andrei Vasilevskiy was the number #2 ranked goalie. His value would have been even better if he had played as many games as other elite goalies. Based on average fantasy points he is the #1 goalie. Vasilevskiy did not show a clear upward or downward trend as the season progressed. He averaged 7.8 FPs in his first 15 games, 7.7 in the middle of his season and 8.4 in his final 8.4 games. Based on a relatively low standard deviation, Vasilevskiy can be considered a consistent fantasy player. He averaged 8 FPs, but on any given day his projected ceiling is as high as 16 fantasy points.

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    UPWARD STATISTICAL CAREER TREND

    He has demonstrated the solid year-to-year improvement that you look for in a younger player. His average Fantasy points have increased by 45% over this time frame.

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    He has averaged 19.3 fantasy points per week and had 6 weeks where he came up short (below 80% of average) and had 4 weeks where he was +20% above average.

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    His FanDuel average was 24.8 points and on DraftKings it was 6.2 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 0.8 and on FanDuel it was 3.2 fantasy points. He had a relatively high ceiling. On Draftkings it was 11.2 and on FanDuel it was 44.8 FPs. He has had more good FanDuel games (exceed average by 20%) than bad games (20% below average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    Career Stats
    YEARTEAMGPWLTOTMINSGASOGAAAPIM
    2018TB4634824278410662.2824
    2017TB65441703382516782.62214
    2016TB50231707283112322.6122
    2015TB2411100012595812.7600
    2014TB1675018643412.3600
    Career (5 Seasons)2011195721511563488182.53620
    2018-19 Situational Stats
    CATEGORYGPWLTOTMINSGASOGAAAPIM
    Games in October861014861611.9800
    Games in November532002981402.8210
    Games in December760014252203.1110
    Games in January954005302222.4902
    Games in February1190026871831.5700
    Games in March651003581402.3502
    CATEGORYGPWLTOTMINSGASOGAAAPIM
    Games Won343400020616461.8604
    Games Lost1208047234203.4920
    CATEGORYGPWLTOTMINSGASOGAAAPIM
    Home Games282150216946232.2010
    Road Games181330210904432.4214
    CATEGORYGPWLTOTMINSGASOGAAAPIM
    Before All-Star Break292070217397432.5522
    CATEGORYGPWLTOTMINSGASOGAAAPIM
    Amalie Arena282150216946232.2010
    American Airlines Center110006001.0002
    Barclays Center1010055404.3600
    Bell Centre1100060101.0000
    Bell MTS Place1000164504.6910
    Honda Center1100060101.0000
    Little Caesars Arena1100060404.0002
    Madison Square Garden1100063302.8600
    NYCB Live110006501.0000
    Nationwide Arena1100060101.0000
    PPG Paints Arena1010058404.1400
    Pepsi Center110006001.0000
    Rogers Arena1100060202.0000
    Rogers Place1100060303.0000
    SAP Center at San Jose1010060505.0000
    STAPLES Center1100060202.0000
    Scotiabank Arena1100060202.0000
    T-Mobile Arena1100060202.0000
    Xcel Energy Center1000163504.7600
    CATEGORYGPWLTOTMINSGASOGAAAPIM
    After All-Star Break171410210453231.8402
    vs Anaheim Ducks1100060101.0000
    vs Buffalo Sabres110006510.9200
    vs Carolina Hurricanes1100059101.0200
    vs Columbus Blue Jackets33000180311.0000
    vs Calgary Flames1100060303.0000
    vs Colorado Avalanche110006001.0000
    vs Dallas Stars2200012002.0002
    vs Detroit Red Wings22000120502.5002
    vs Edmonton Oilers22000120502.5000
    vs Florida Panthers110006510.9200
    vs Los Angeles Kings22000125502.4000
    vs Minnesota Wild20101122703.4400
    vs Montreal Canadiens33000180612.0000
    vs New Jersey Devils1100060303.0000
    vs Nashville Predators1010060303.0000
    vs New York Islanders32100180612.0000
    vs New York Rangers1100063302.8600
    vs Ottawa Senators21100118703.5610
    vs Philadelphia Flyers1100060505.0000
    vs Pittsburgh Penguins21100118804.0700
    vs San Jose Sharks21100120804.0000
    vs St. Louis Blues100016410.9400
    vs Toronto Maple Leafs32100178602.0200
    vs Vancouver Canucks21100118402.0300
    vs Washington Capitals1100060303.0000
    vs Winnipeg Jets21001124703.3910
    CATEGORYGPWLTOTMINSGASOGAAAPIM
    vs Vegas Golden Knights21001125401.9200
    vs Western Conference Tms211340412784832.2512
    vs Own Division12102007252612.1512
    vs Eastern Conference Tms252140015065832.3112
    All-Star Games10000103018.0000
    Outside Own Division342460420598052.3312
    Overall4634804278410662.2824
    2018 Game Log
    OCTOBERSTATISTICS
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTMINSWLOTLGASVSASV%SOPIM
    10/06vsW2-165100142430.97700
    10/11vsL4-158010224260.92300
    10/13vsW8-260100230320.93800
    10/18vsW3-160100129300.96700
    10/20@L5-463001529340.85300
    10/24@W1-060100022221.00010
    10/26@W3-260100229310.93500
    10/30vsW8-360100327300.90000
    NOVEMBERSTATISTICS
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTMINSWLOTLGASVSASV%SOPIM
    11/01vsL4-160010320230.87000
    11/03@W4-160100134350.97100
    11/06vsW5-260100233350.94300
    11/08vsW4-260100235370.94600
    11/10vsL6-459010628340.82400
    DECEMBERSTATISTICS
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTMINSWLOTLGASVSASV%SOPIM
    12/13vsW4-160100148490.98000
    12/16@L5-464001537420.88100
    12/18@W5-260100236380.94700
    12/22@W6-360100325280.89300
    12/27vsW6-560100528330.84800
    12/29vsW6-560100533380.86800
    12/31@W2-160100135360.97200
    JANUARYSTATISTICS
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTMINSWLOTLGASVSASV%SOPIM
    01/03@W6-260100228300.93300
    01/05@L5-260010528330.84800
    01/08vsW4-060100031311.00010
    01/10vsW3-159100126270.96300
    01/13@L5-155010423270.85200
    01/15@W2-060100035351.00012
    01/17vsL4-258010327300.90000
    01/19vsW6-360100336390.92300
    01/30@L4-258010418220.81800
    FEBRUARYSTATISTICS
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTMINSWLOTLGASVSASV%SOPIM
    02/01@W1-065100036361.00010
    02/05vsL3-265000235370.94600
    02/07vsL1-064001138390.97400
    02/09vsW5-460100428320.87500
    02/12vsW6-360100319220.86400
    02/14vsW6-060100032321.00010
    02/16vsW3-060100020201.00010
    02/18@W5-160100139400.97500
    02/21vsW2-165100129300.96700
    02/25vsW4-365100330330.90900
    02/27@W4-363100333360.91700
    MARCHSTATISTICS
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTMINSWLOTLGASVSASV%SOPIM
    03/02vsW5-159100136370.97300
    03/05vsW5-260100230320.93800
    03/07vsL3-059010227290.93100
    03/11@W6-260100226280.92900
    03/14@W5-460100423270.85202
    03/16vsW6-360100331340.91200